Euro devalues or be advocate because of

Xie Yaxuan of researcher of the negotiable securities that enrol business expresses, will calculate from the angle of exchange gains and losses, increase 3 quarters foreign exchange reserve fast the evidence that puts delay to go out as hot Qian Liu significantly, appear a little far-fetched. Chinese foreign exchange reserve has dollar, euro and yen 3 kinds of asset, according to forecasting, the euro in 3 quarters foreign exchange reserve takes 460 billion dollar about, but whole of foreign exchange reserve with dollar valuation. Devalue considerably to the dollar as a result of 3 quarters euro about 10% , press this computation, exchange loss reachs 46 billion dollar, this should be the main reason that foreign exchange reserve drops.

Additional, my abroad collects reserve assets to answer everyday according to authority duty happen make have a record, among them trade sexual asset and finance derive a tool to undertake weighing appraise according to vendibility or evenhanded value, the wave motion that place as a way of produces the price also affects remaining sum of foreign exchange reserve to add on certain level fast.

So, below the setting of global banking crisis, whether does short-term sth used to one's own advantage pour out of international to meet predominate? Xie Yaxuan thinks, the foreign exchange reserve of our country of the 3rd quarter still is in growth, the basic state that shows capital of our country international is flowed into completely did not produce change. Of course, because the RMB appreciates to speed puts delay and pour out of China,do not remove a few congenial fund, but this is not the mainstream.

Wang Xiaohui also expresses, at present very hard to heating up money one is calculated accurately, whether is because this concludes hard,hot money pour out of considerably. Look from present circumstance, have two kinds of judgement, it is our country commercial bank likelihood keep one share foreign exchange, the foreign exchange reserve in bringing about statistical data thereby adds fast slow down; 2 it is international environment bad, the matrix of hot money is badly in need of ” of capital “ blood transfusion, bring about hot Qian Liu to go out thereby. Nevertheless, look for a long time from which, chinese economy environment is close friends than periphery, heat up money to whether flow at present no matter, future or meeting regurgitate come.

Wright also expresses, these data are not meant, this kind of outflow is Asian finance what investor feels worried make after the crisis the outflow of capital of the sort of long-term sex spec.


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